Abstract

For a strongly subcritical branching process ( Z n ) n ⩾ 0 in random environment the non-extinction probability at generation n decays at the same exponential rate as the expected generation size and given non-extinction at n the conditional distribution of Z n has a weak limit. Here we prove conditional functional limit theorems for the generation size process ( Z k ) 0 ⩽ k ⩽ n as well as for the random environment. We show that given the population survives up to generation n the environmental sequence still evolves in an i.i.d. fashion and that the conditioned generation size process converges in distribution to a positive recurrent Markov chain.

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