FUNCTIONAL DESCRIPTION OF THE ZONING OF LOCAL TERRITORIES OF THE GLOBE BY QUANTITY AND DESTRUCTIVE ENERGY OF TECTONIC EXTREME ORIGIN SITUATIONS

Abstract

In conditions of uneven distribution of sources of danger across the territory of the state, each territory has its own levels of natural, technogenic, social and military loads, which influence on the composition of forces, tactical and technical characteristics of the means of the functioning geoinformation security system, namely the national security system. In Ukraine the civil defense system is functioning to ensure the implementation of state policy in the field of civil defense for protection of the population, territories, environment and property from emergencies by preventing such situations, eliminating their consequences and providing assistance to victims in peacetime and during a special period. The system consists of functional and territorial subsystems and is aimed to solving the issues of ensuring the necessary level of security of the state in the conditions of emergency. At the same time, the issues of implementation of the monitoring function and development of effective decisions by all local subsystems, which aimed at prevention and localization of different emergencies, remain completely open to the state. In this paper in order to further develop the scientific and technical foundations for creating an artificial intelligence system for monitoring emergencies of tectonic origin have been presented the results of a mathematical description of the hierarchical clustering local territories of the globe in terms of the amount and of destructive energy of tectonic origin emergency situations. The results have been obtained by discriminant and canonical multivariate statistical analysis of the Earth's seismic activity in the Sun – Earth – Moon nonlinear energy interaction system. The discriminant and canonical analyzes of the results of hierarchical clustering (zoning) of the local territories of the globe according to the level of seismic activity were carried out using the statistical packages STATISTICA 6.1 and SPSS 2.0. The results obtained in this work are the basis for further comprehensive assessment of the interconnections between the main parameters of the Earth’s movement in the Sun – Earth – Moon system and the main parameters of the tectonic hazard of seismically active local territories of the Earth, aimed at developing the scientific and technical foundations for creating an artificial intelligence system for monitoring emergencies of tectonic origin. Keywords: emergency, seismic activity, seismic hazard, emergency monitoring of tectonic origin, discriminant analysis, canonical analysis