Abstract
Most people in South Africa rely on a diminishing source of fuelwood for meeting domestic energy needs. A fuelwood demand and supply model is presented which projects likely fuelwood supply deficits to the year 2000 AD. Fuelwood demand in underdeveloped rural areas is calculated from fuelwood consumption measurements combined with demographic data for 1980 and projections for 2000 AD. Fuelwood is obtained primarily from natural woodland and shrubland. Detailed analyses are made of above ground woody biomass production for the different areas. A fuelwood supply model is constructed based on these data and taking into account current consumption patterns. Fuelwood deficits are calculated as well as the plantation areas required to ensure a sustainable fuelwood supply. The limitations of this approach are noted and the urgency of developing an integrated energy supply policy for a “new South Africa” is argued.
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