Fuel Procurement strategies of coastal coal-fired power plants under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals

Abstract

Under the background of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goal and the construction of a new power system with new energy as the main body, coal-fired power generation enterprises are facing a complex and severe business situation. Based on the current situation of coal procurement in power plants along the southeast coast of China, this paper constructs a coal procurement model that weighs imported coal and domestic coal, and simulates the impact of demand index, season and weather factors and other factors on the risk resistance capability of power plants. Taking the coal procurement data of H Group as the model parameter data to simulate, the model simulation results show that: flexible adjustment of imported coal proportion according to the seasonal change can effectively ensure the coal demand. It is a long way to go to develop new energy to replace coal. We can gradually establish a low-carbon energy consumption system by actively developing renewable energy. The fluctuation of domestic and foreign coal prices significantly affects the demand of coal, and the price and quality advantages of imported coal cannot be replaced.