Abstract
About the research of fuzzy time series model are proposed by Song and Chissom(1993). There are many researchers have proposed many different methods and models. Example the p-order fuzzy time series model FAR(p), the p-order fuzzy time series model with fuzzy trend, and the p-order fuzzy seasonal time series model FSAR(p)s. But, about a fuzzy time series has shown a tendency to increase or decrease over a particular period and also to follow a seasonal pattern, FASRI(p, d)×(P, D)(subscript s) that is no any paper to research this topic. In this research, we want to study the FASRI(p, d)×(P, D)(subscript s) model of fuzzy time series. First, we make testing for the fuzzy trend of fuzzy time series by the rule of Liaw(2000) proposed. If the fuzzy time series with fuzzy trend, we make a differencing for the original time series, then make testing for the fuzzy seasonal of the new fuzzy time series by the rule of Liaw(2000) proposed. If the new fuzzy time series with fuzzy seasonal. It is told us the fuzzy time series simultaneous with fuzzy trend and fuzzy seasonal. We must consider the fuzzy time series simultaneous with fuzzy trend and fuzzy seasonal at the model construction. Finally, we use two relevant instances verify our propose method.
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