Fruits and vegetables in consumption basket of Republic of Armenia in 2008–2015

Abstract

In follow article quarterly seasonal fluctuations of the consumption of fruits and vegetables in the food basket were studied in period of 2008–2015 by data of RA. Among the other products in food basket the seasonal fluctuations of fruits and vegetables are more noticeable. The main purpose of this research is to discompose the time series of consumption volumes of fruits and vegetables for studying the seasonal component's impact and for making the credible predictions. The tendency of these commodities have been shown by the linear regression model. According regression model the consumption value of fruits in the food basket each quarter decreased increased by 1.741 AMD, the rest part of the fruit consumption level is formed through the seasonal and error components. According regression model, the consumption value of vegetable in the food basket each quarter increased by 27.97 AMD, and main part of the volume of vegetables consumption in the time series is formed through the seasonal and error components. The seasonal fluctuations of commodities of have been presented with the help of multiplicative models. Taking account the main components of studied time series, the predicted values of the consumption of fruits and vegetables in the food basket have built for the further quarters.