From The Global Warming to Global Chaos

Abstract

Risk of conflict between states in the international relations does not arise only from the struggle for power and sovereignty. Obstacle of access to vital resources and natural disasters also create potential cause of conflict. It is undeniable fact that while prosperity and wealth bring peace and tranquility to societies, poverty and famine paves the way for conflict. Climate changes which cause major problems we face now are also seen as a result of global warming. The most basic needs and life conditions for people are being threatened by drought, wildfires, hurricanes and floods caused by the global warming in these days. It is not possible for any country to solve the problems caused by global warming alone therefore full international cooperation is required in this regard. However many governments do not still believe everything explained by scientists about the global warming is real or too much important. On the other hand, the economic and political competitions among states make them be reluctant in order to take necessary steps for the common goal. Scientists has insistently warning that an increase in temperature 1,5° C above the pre industrial level would cause irreversible dramatic changes on earth. Moreover, situation would get worse when the feedback effect of existing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is amplified and we will experience more and more bad effects of the global warming. Considering this dangerous situation, under the leadership of the UN, international initiatives continue to stop global warming since 1992. However, these efforts seem too far from successful yet. The clear acceptance of this failure was made by the UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres at the COP27 conference held in Egypt on 6 November 2022. As the Secretary General said that "we are in the fight of our lives and we are losing". It is not a realistic attitude to place all hopes on the success of an absolute international cooperation and sit back in fighting against the global warming. It is necessary that governments have to take all their own measures with this regard in advance. Considering climate anomalies which we are currently experiencing will get worse and unpreventable, states have to manage to adapt to climate challenges and must increase their resilience to cope with this reality. Otherwise, global warming may turn into a global chaos that cannot be overcomed and controlled. Keywords: Global Warming, Climate Change, Kyoto Protocol, National Security, Drought DOI: 10.7176/IAGS/97-04 Publication date: December 31 st 2022