Abstract

Cocitation measurements can reveal the extent to which a concept representing a novel combination of existing ideas evolves towards a specialty. The strength of cocitation is represented by its frequency, which accumulates over time. Of interest is whether underlying features associated with the strength of cocitation can be identified. We use the proximal citation network for a given pair of articles ( x, y) to compute θ, an a priori estimate of the probability of cocitation between x and y, prior to their first cocitation. Thus, low values for θ reflect pairs of articles for which cocitation is presumed less likely. We observe that cocitation frequencies are a composite of power-law and lognormal distributions, and that very high cocitation frequencies are more likely to be composed of pairs with low values of θ, reflecting the impact of a novel combination of ideas. Furthermore, we note that the occurrence of a direct citation between two members of a cocited pair increases with cocitation frequency. Finally, we identify cases of frequently cocited publications that accumulate cocitations after an extended period of dormancy.

Highlights

  • Cocitation, “the frequency with which two documents from the earlier literature are cited together in the later literature,” was first described in 1973 (Marshakova-Shaikevich, 1973; Small, 1973)

  • Cocitation has been the subject of further study and characterization, for example, comparisons to bibliographic coupling and direct citation (Boyack & Klavans, 2010), the study of invisible colleges (Gmür, 2003; Noma, 1984), construction of networks by cocitation (Small & Sweeney, 1985; Small, Sweeney, & Greenlee, 1985), evaluation of clusters in combination with textual analysis (Braam, Moed, & van Raan, 1991), textual similarity at the article and other levels (Colavizza, Boyack, et al, 2018), and the fractal nature of publications aggregated by cocitations

  • We describe in this subsection (a) the statistical computations for fitting log-normal and power law distributions to right tails of the observed cocitation frequency distributions as defined by Eq 1 for various x and (b) how we assessed the quality of those fits

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Summary

Introduction

Cocitation, “the frequency with which two documents from the earlier literature are cited together in the later literature,” was first described in 1973 (Marshakova-Shaikevich, 1973; Small, 1973). As noted by Small (1973), cocitation patterns differ from bibliographic coupling patterns (Kessler, 1963) but align with patterns of direct citation and frequently cocited publications must have high individual citations. Cocitation has been the subject of further study and characterization, for example, comparisons to bibliographic coupling and direct citation (Boyack & Klavans, 2010), the study of invisible colleges (Gmür, 2003; Noma, 1984), construction of networks by cocitation (Small & Sweeney, 1985; Small, Sweeney, & Greenlee, 1985), evaluation of clusters in combination with textual analysis (Braam, Moed, & van Raan, 1991), textual similarity at the article and other levels (Colavizza, Boyack, et al, 2018), and the fractal nature of publications aggregated by cocitations (van Raan, 1990).

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