Frequentist and Bayesian inference: A conceptual primer

Abstract

In recent years, there has been a crisis of confidence in many empirical fields including psychology, regarding the reproducibility of scientific findings. Among several causes thought to have contributed to this situation, the inferential basis of traditional, or so-called frequentist statistics, is arguably chief among them. Of particular concern is null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), which inadvertently became the de facto basis of scientific inference in the frequentist paradigm. The objective of this paper is to describe some of the most prominent issues plaguing frequentist inference, including NHST. In addition, some Bayesian benefits are introduced to show that it offers solutions to several problems inherent in frequentist statistics. The overall aim is to provide a non-threatening, conceptual overview of these concerns. The hope is that this will facilitate greater awareness and understanding of the need to address these matters in empirical psychology.