Abstract
Over the past few decades, the Earth’s climate has undergone conspicuous changes, some of which have a profound impact on social and governmental systems. The purpose of this paper is to establish a model for measuring national fragile and the impact of climate change on a country. For this purpose, we first define the Fragile States Index (FSI) to measure the fragility of a country based on population, crime rate and education, which are the three aspects that most countries or regions will focus on. Second, we use the FSI to illustrate how climate change affects the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Third, we analyze the definitive indicators of Indonesia and predict the changes of FSI. Finally, the effects of each intervention policy were obtained by analyzing Indonesia’s intervention policy on environmental change. To provide ideas for intervention on climate change.
Highlights
1.1 Introduce the ProblemThrough the data and research in recent years, the Climate Change will directly or indirectly affect a country or region
This paper focuses on the impact of climate change on Fragile States Index (FSI), so the direct and indirect impacts of climate should be added to re-develop a model that describes the FSI
The Democratic Republic of Congo is chosen to analyze how climate change is increasing the fragility of this country
Summary
Through the data and research in recent years, the Climate Change will directly or indirectly affect a country or region. The main manifestations are slow economic growth and regional conflicts, etc. Being a fragile state can increase the people’s resistance to sudden changes in the climate. Non-sustainable environmental practices, migration, and resource shortages are all likely to aggravate states with weak governance (Schwartz & Randall, 2004; Theisen, Gleditsch, & Buhaug, 2013). There is evidence that it can trigger violent conflicts when it is combined with weak governance and social divisions. The purpose of this study is to propose a perspective to measure the instability of a country or region in order to make timely adjustment and governance
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