Forward-Thinking for Sustainable Shared Mobility Solutions in Amman

Abstract

This study presents a novel examination of shared mobility’s viability and impact in Amman, Jordan, framed within the context of sustainable urban transportation. A rigorous methodological approach that integrates advanced statistical models including Probit and Decision Tree analyses was utilized to evaluate the propensity of Amman’s residents to adopt shared mobility solutions. Notably, the Ordered Probit Model provided superior model prediction compared to the multinomial logit model, evidenced by a better goodness of fit measure. The results showed that public transportation users would highly use shared mobility services based on cost and reliability, with service convenience emerging as a pivotal factor. The classification tree identified the convenience of the service as the most important factor in adopting shared mobility. The survey data revealed an initial adoption rate of 25.4%, indicating a significant inclination towards shared mobility among respondents. This is pivotal in understanding the current readiness and potential growth of shared mobility in the city. This study is one of the first to quantify the readiness and potential growth of shared mobility in a Middle Eastern urban setting. Furthermore, the impact of this adoption rate on CO2 emissions was conducted. Emission analysis is crucial for assessing the environmental benefits of transitioning towards shared mobility options and aligning with global sustainability goals. Finally, the study extrapolates strategic guidelines for advancing sustainable transportation in Amman, identifying shared mobility options with the highest potential for successful adoption and proposing strategies to foster their implementation. This research contributes a unique perspective to the discourse on urban mobility, particularly in developing urban contexts like Amman, offering valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners.