Abstract
The main aim of this article is to adapt the Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) to prospective planning of technology development. Firstly, the article presents the assumptions, methods and idea, as well as the concept of the FTA method. Moreover, selected publications on the use of this method were analysed. Then, an original, base model of forward-looking planning of technology development was constructed and presented. The end result of this process will be the development of the localized in time, presented in graphic form, action plan referred to as the route of technology development. Basing on the literature review and the research projects a preliminary route of development of arbitrarily chosen technology was also built and presented.
Highlights
With increasing demand for innovative technologies and broad trading market for technologies the issue of prospective planning of technology development is gaining importance
According to the author Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) is to collect a set of useful tools which can be used successfully in perspective predicting of technology development
To choose among the dozens of methods used in the FTA – especially by inexperienced researchers – those that will be useful for predicting technology development
Summary
With increasing demand for innovative technologies and broad trading market for technologies the issue of prospective planning of technology development is gaining importance. When reviewing literature it can be seen that the management of technology should be aimed at the identification and exploitation, and the selection, acquisition, protection and acquiring of knowledge, undertaken in order to achieve and maintain a high market position of the organization (Cetindamar et al 2009; Gregory 1995; Rush et al 2007). The identification process involves taking actions to acquire new technologies that would improve the competitiveness of the organization or to prevent its deterioration. Due to the importance of technology to the organization, the processes of obtaining it should be implemented in a planned and systematic manner. On the basis of the selected technologies research and development priorities can be generated and applied in the form of research and development efforts, the results of which, when put into
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