Abstract

)L,ZIP ENCE the late l970s, theoretical explanations of exchange rate deternunation have emphasized the asset approach rather tItan the expenditure approach.’ Most of the empirical research applying the asset models of exchange rate detern malion also subsume the efficient market hypothesis. In this article, we test three efficient niarke I hypotheses bearing on forward exchange rates: Fl rst, are forward rates unbiased forecasts of future spot exchange rates? Second, does ‘‘news’’ in particular iinanti ci pated changes in nominal or real interest differentials — explain for—

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