Abstract

A method to account for model deficiencies in nuclear data evaluations in the resonance regime is proposed. The method follows the ideas of Schnabel and coworkers and relies on Gaussian processes with a novel problemadapted ansatz for the covariance matrix of model uncertainties extending the formalism to the energy region of resonances. The method was used to evaluate a set of schematic but realistic neutron reaction data generated by an R-matrix code and a well defined model defect. Using the extended ansatz for model defects the Bayesian evaluation successfully recovered the built-in model defect in size and structure thus demonstrating the applicability of the method.

Highlights

  • The availability of reliable evaluated nuclear data is an important prerequisite for developments in several fields of science and technology

  • The method follows the ideas of Schnabel and coworkers and relies on Gaussian processes with a novel problemadapted ansatz for the covariance matrix of model uncertainties extending the formalism to the energy region of resonances

  • In standard Bayesian evaluations it is assumed that the model is perfect, i.e. σexp=σmod + ∈exp, where σmod and ∈exp are the vectors of model values and experimental errors, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

The availability of reliable evaluated nuclear data is an important prerequisite for developments in several fields of science and technology. There exist always model defects and they have an important impact on evaluations [1, 2] Several attempts for their inclusion were proposed in the past [3, 4]. Schnabel [1] presented a statistically consistent formulation in terms of Gaussian processes, which was applicable for smooth energy dependence of reaction cross sections and more recently for angle differential cross sections [5]. In this contribution we propose an extension of the formalism of model defects for the resonance regime, especially suited for light nuclear systems.

Concept of Formalism
Model defects for the Resonance Regime
Implementation of Formalism
Application
Generation of schematic example
S refers to a normal distribution with mean value and the standard deviation
Bayesian update and results
Summary and Outlook

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