Abstract

Significance Interest in the 'Middle Corridor' was revived after Russia invaded Ukraine and expanding Western sanctions raised the commercial risk for carriers. Despite enthusiasm among participants from Turkey to Kazakhstan, China has not wholeheartedly backed the route. Impacts The route is important to Kazakhstan, where frictions with Russia will encourage export route diversification. Georgia and Azerbaijan may secure greater Western investment in infrastructure. Turkey and Azerbaijan will press Armenia to open a transit corridor. Iran will push for north-south trade routes with Armenia and Russia.

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