Abstract

SummaryThe exploration and development of offshore oil and gas have greatly alleviated the tension of global oil and gas resources. However, the abnormal pressure of offshore reservoirs is more common compared with terrestrial oil and gas reservoirs, and the marine geological structure is complex, with the development of faults, fractures, and high and steep structures, which leads to the strong anisotropy of formation pore pressure distribution and uncertainty of pressure system change. In this paper, considering the corresponding characteristics of the randomness of the formation pressure prediction results in the Eaton equation for their respective variables, a formation pressure inversion method based on multisource information, such as predrilling data, bottomhole while drilling data, seabed measured data, and surface measured data, is established. On this basis, combined with the data of a well in the South China Sea, the variation law of the uncertainty of formation pressure prediction results under the conditions of predrilling data, measurement while drilling (MWD) data, and their mutual coupling is analyzed. The simulation results show that the uncertainty distribution of formation pressure prediction based solely on predrilling data shows linear accumulation trend with well depth, and the formation pressure inversion method based on multisource information can significantly curb the increasing trend of uncertainty when MWD data are introduced. Therefore, through the analysis of typical change patterns of monitoring parameters under normal/abnormal conditions during drilling, combined with the method of multisource information, the abnormal pressure information can be accurately predicted and inversed, which provides important support for wellbore pressure regulation under complex formation conditions.

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