Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the number of applicants for training in higher education programs in the universities of Kuzbass. The previous studies carried out by the authors served as the basis for the development of a model that allows obtaining an advanced estimate of the number of applicants for admission to regional universities [4]. The results obtained in [3] made it possible to quantitatively determine the relationship between the number of students in higher education programs and the gross regional product (GRP) of the Kemerovo region, as well as to draw a conclusion about the influence of regional macroeconomic indicators on the choice of education level by graduates. On the basis of the constructed model, the forecast of the number of students in HE programs in the universities of the Kemerovo region for one period ahead was carried out with a relative forecasting error of 2.45%.

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