Abstract
Abstract I review the history of forest tent caterpillar, Malacosoma disstria (Hübner) (Lepidoptera: Lasiocampidae), occurrence from 1938 to 2001 throughout Canada, with emphasis on the insect’s impact on tree mortality. I show that forest tent caterpillar routinely kills a portion of its host tree population during outbreaks. Although the proportion killed is typically small, there are some unusual conditions during which the foliage grazer can precipitate large-scale host forest declines. These decline episodes are the result of a spatially complex pattern of outbreak spread whereby successive cycles occur asynchronously enough that there is a zone of overlap where the two cycles occur in rapid succession, leading to three to six years of defoliation, triggering a nonlinear mortality response that endures through time. One of these “cycles” is typically amplified locally to an intensity that is anomalously high and nonrecurring. Defoliation events that are periodic in aggregate may thus give rise to patterns of insect-caused forest decline that are episodic. These decline events have been shifting northwards over time and have been growing in extent. The dynamics of outbreak occurrence appears to be a complex result of interacting top–down and bottom–up forces, making it challenging to predict in advance whether or not any given outbreak will exceed the threshold required to precipitate large-scale mortality.
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