Abstract

Montane forests of western China provide an opportunity to establish baseline studies for climate change. The region is being impacted by climate change, air pollution, and significant human impacts from tourism. We analyzed forest stand structure and climate-growth relationships from Jiuzhaigou National Nature Reserve in northwestern Sichuan province, along the eastern edge of the Tibetan plateau. We conducted a survey to characterize forest stand diversity and structure in plots occurring between 2050 and 3350 m in elevation. We also evaluated seedling and sapling recruitment and tree-ring data from four conifer species to assess: 1) whether the forest appears in transition toward increased hardwood composition; 2) if conifers appear stressed by recent climate change relative to hardwoods; and 3) how growth of four dominant species responds to recent climate. Our study is complicated by clear evidence of 20th century timber extraction. Focusing on regions lacking evidence of logging, we found a diverse suite of conifers (Pinus, Abies, Juniperus, Picea, and Larix) strongly dominate the forest overstory. We found population size structures for most conifer tree species to be consistent with self-replacement and not providing evidence of shifting composition toward hardwoods. Climate-growth analyses indicate increased growth with cool temperatures in summer and fall. Warmer temperatures during the growing season could negatively impact conifer growth, indicating possible seasonal climate water deficit as a constraint on growth. In contrast, however, we found little relationship to seasonal precipitation. Projected warming does not yet have a discernible signal on trends in tree growth rates, but slower growth with warmer growing season climates suggests reduced potential future forest growth.

Highlights

  • Global change impacts on climate and air quality are driving potentially major ecosystem responses even in remote ecosystems [1]

  • There have been relatively few vegetation studies conducted in Jiuzhaigou National Nature Reserve (JNNR), it offers a range of conditions amenable to conducting such research, including varied topography, variation in human density and impact, and diverse plant community types

  • The numerous vegetation zones found in close proximity to one another across steep elevation and primary productivity gradients make JNNR an excellent backdrop against which to test for evidence of climate change driving vegetation responses

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Summary

Introduction

Global change impacts on climate and air quality are driving potentially major ecosystem responses even in remote ecosystems [1]. Any impact that climate change has on China’s more than 207 million ha of forest (5th largest forest area globally [2]) could have global consequences [3,4,5,6,7,8,9]. To better understand the potential impacts of climate change on forest composition and tree growth in Chinese forests, we combined research on forest structure with a dendroecological analysis of growth response to temperature and rainfall for the montane forests of Jiuzhaigou National Nature Reserve (JNNR). The numerous vegetation zones found in close proximity to one another across steep elevation and primary productivity gradients make JNNR an excellent backdrop against which to test for evidence of climate change driving vegetation responses. Evidence from two centuries of tree-ring data suggests that forests in the region are responsive to climate variability [10,11,12], and that climate change, as indicated by a warming trend through the latter half of the 20th century, may already be occurring [13]

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