Abstract

BackgroundAccelerated vegetation changes are predicted for Southwestern forests due to changing disturbance regimes and climate. The 2001 Leroux Fire burned across a landscape with pre-existing permanent plots during one of the most extreme drought periods over the last few decades, providing a rare opportunity to assess wildfire−drought interactions. The wildfire burned with variable severity across a mountainous transition zone. We took advantage of this opportunity to re-measure plots originally established in 2000, and extend the temporal scale of response data to 15 years post-fire.ResultsAlthough fire severity classification adequately described initial effects, tree mortality was indistinguishable among the burned plots between 2002 and 2016, ranging from 38 to 41%. Our results indicated extensive secondary tree mortality that nearly equaled initial mortality in three of four fire severity classes. Mortality from 2002 to 2016 varied by species, with quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) experiencing disproportionately higher mortality (46 to 62% tree loss) than other species across all fire severities. Ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Engelm.) mortality (34% tree loss) between 2002 and 2016 on unburned plots, along with similar mortality on moderate- and high-severity plots, show that even the most drought-tolerant species on our site was affected by exceptionally warm and dry conditions. Regeneration immediately post fire was dominated by aspen sprouts across all fire severities. By 2016, however, aspen densities were lower than pre-fire observations in unburned, moderate- and high-severity plots, and conifer seedlings primarily established in unburned plots. Ponderosa pine seedlings established between 2011 and 2016 and were observed in only one unburned plot in 2016. The lack of pine regeneration and the relatively small size of high-severity patches in the Leroux Fire suggest that factors other than seed dispersal limited ponderosa pine regeneration.ConclusionsSubstantial mortality (68% tree loss) and 39% basal area reduction over the 15-year study, plus variable aspen regeneration and sparse conifer regeneration, led to non-forested conditions and isolated aspen stands. Although small in size, the Leroux Fire provided an example of continuing post-fire forest community changes driven by temperature increases and drought. Thus, wildfire and climate change interactions may accelerate shifts in structure and composition in Southwest forest ecosystems.

Highlights

  • Accelerated vegetation changes are predicted for Southwestern forests due to changing disturbance regimes and climate

  • Compared with pre-fire (2000) conditions, live overstory density and basal area (BA) were significantly reduced by the Leroux Fire (P < 0.001 for both tree density and BA measured in 2002) and continued to decline through year 2011 (Fig. 2)

  • Average BA declined by 27% from pre-fire levels and area-weighted mean (AWM) was 27.8 m2 ha−1 in 2002

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Summary

Introduction

Accelerated vegetation changes are predicted for Southwestern forests due to changing disturbance regimes and climate. Wildfire and climate interact to play complex roles in determining tree mortality, species establishment, and forest composition. Climate change may be the primary factor driving ecological responses, disturbances such as wildfires are likely to interact with climate in complex ways, with uncertain effects on forest structure and composition (Donato et al 2016). Shifts in forest composition and tree species distributions in response to wildfire and climate are likely to be most readily observed in transition zones, where species are near their environmental limits (Adams and Kolb 2004; Mast and Wolf 2004). Monitoring indicators of change, such as tree mortality and regeneration at these transition zones, can provide greater insights concerning processes that influence both shifts in composition as well as persistence of key species

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