Abstract

In this article we examine patterns of change and continuity in Latin American foreign policies. We do so by asking two interrelated questions: How can we conceptually and empirically account for foreign policy change? And why do states change their foreign policies in Latin America? To answer these questions, we used the results of a new expert survey on foreign policy preferences in the region between 1980 and 2014. The results we obtained using both linear and non-parametric specifications are very clear and consistent: presidential institutions and ideology are what matters the most.

Highlights

  • Foreign policy change has been, and continues to be, a common concern among Latin American scholars

  • Economic growth seems to have had a significant and nontrivial effect on foreign policy realignment, it is not clear that this is per se a systemic variable, and international variables account for only a small part of the overall variation in foreign policy change (FPCh)

  • In this article we have provided a first approximation to an examination of foreign policy change in Latin America

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Summary

Introduction

Foreign policy change has been, and continues to be, a common concern among Latin American scholars. Another recurrent theme in Latin America has been its place in the North-South divide and the discussion over the benefits that can be obtained from an alliance with industrialized/developed countries vis-à-vis the developing world (Puig 1980; Jaguaribe 1985; Escudé 1992; Hey 1997; Russell and Tokatlian 2003; Briceño Ruiz 2012; Schenoni and Escudé 2016) Those countries that emphasized NorthSouth relations sought to engage politically and economically with the Western industrialized countries seeking to attract investment, increase foreign trade, and obtain varying degrees of political support and military aid.

F PCh FPt FPt 1 2
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