Abstract

Is it always the economy, or do external issues sometimes matter,too? Consistent with the Clinton campaign slogan of 1992, politicalscientists generally predict that domestic economic issues are primaryin determining election winners. This proposition, with its severalvariants, rests on many years of survey data and analysis thathave consistently indicated that international conditions and foreignpolicy rarely, if ever, rate highly in public concerns and thereforeseldom affect election outcomes.

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