Forecasting the EV charging load based on customer profile or station measurement?

Abstract

In this paper, forecasting of the Electric Vehicle (EV) charging load has been based on two different datasets: data from the customer profile (referred to as charging record) and data from outlet measurements (referred to as station record). Four different prediction algorithms namely Time Weighted Dot Product based Nearest Neighbor (TWDP-NN), Modified Pattern Sequence Forecasting (MPSF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Random Forest (RF) are applied to both datasets. The corresponding speed, accuracy, and privacy concerns are compared between the use of the charging records and station records. Real world data compiled at the outlet level from the UCLA campus parking lots are used. The results show that charging records provide relatively faster prediction while putting customer privacy in jeopardy. Station records provide relatively slower prediction while respecting the customer privacy. In general, we found that both datasets generate comparable prediction error.