Abstract
The article reveals the essence and functional purpose of forecasting economic and social results, efficiency, economic security of organizations and sectoral components of the national economy, the relationship of the main economic characteristics and economic security, justifies the feasibility of using economic and mathematical methods of forecasting to ensure economic security, accuracy and significance of forecast estimates. The article reveals the composition of generalizing indicators of correlation characterizing for the medium and long-term development of sectoral and local components. Also it reveals a set of measures and actions to collect and systematize socio-economic information about the current and retrospective activity of the object of planning and forecasting which would ensure the adequacy of forecasting of the normative and threshold values of economic security, interaction with other technological elements of the management system of medium and longterm development of business entities, economic activities (sectoral components) of the services sector.
Highlights
In order to analyze the object of forecasting the medium-term estimates are obtained by economic and mathematical methods with a representative sample, as well as expert methods with no data on the retrospective economic activity
The points of view of a number of economists on the feasibility of determining in the medium and long-term periods of socio-economic development of business entities, branches of the national economy of the main performance characteristics that are in close correlation with economic security through expert extrapolation of retrospective activities based on adherence to the principle of economic growth the effectiveness of the resources used from the previously achieved level, in our opinion, cannot to be acceptable neither economically nor adequately to the established target orientation for achieving the maximum possible values of economic indicators
Medium-term, long-term forecasting of the socio-economic development of business entities and sectoral components of the services sector, which determines the degree of objectivity of economic results, production efficiency and their compliance with economic security, acts as a separate functional element in the planning process, the equivalence of which with other management functions, including planning, is confirmed preparatory, process and final organizational measures, actions on actualization of its functional purpose, to carry out an assessment on the basis of extrapolation of a representative retrospective dynamics of economic performance, the effectiveness of the resources used
Summary
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