Abstract
The article provides detailed information on the process of developing effective plans for the development of the tourism industry and choosing the optimal one based on them, forecasting the future development of the industry. It also considers the processes of using special computational and arithmetic methods that allow predicting the events and happenings in the tourism industry, to determine the regression function as a result of the interaction and interaction of indicators representing the type of activity. As a result of targeted research, using correlation-regression models, a forecast of the development trend of the tourism industry based on socio-economic factors affecting the tourism process was developed.
Highlights
Development of the economy in the country, in particular, tourism, maximum satisfaction of tourism needs of the population, preservation of ecological balance and cultural heritage in the integrated development of the regions, ensuring sustainable development of tourism, steady increase in budget revenues from tourism; Extensive measures are being taken to establish promising tourism centers, increase the level of development of excursions, develop rural tourism, improve the information and advertising of regional tourist and recreational activities, and achieve certain results
We proposed the use of a multivariate regression linear model for prognosis
The related variable is: Y; method: smallest squares; selection: 2014-2019 years number of observations: 6 Based on the data in Tables 6-7 and Formula 2, we write the appearance of a multivariate linear model as follows: Y1 438.991 4.204 x1 1.596 x2 (6)
Summary
Development of the economy in the country, in particular, tourism, maximum satisfaction of tourism needs of the population, preservation of ecological balance and cultural heritage in the integrated development of the regions, ensuring sustainable development of tourism, steady increase in budget revenues from tourism; Extensive measures are being taken to establish promising tourism centers, increase the level of development of excursions, develop rural tourism, improve the information and advertising of regional tourist and recreational activities, and achieve certain results. THE MAIN FINDINGS AND RESULTS The development of effective plans for the development of the tourism industry in the Republic of Uzbekistan and the selection of optimal ones based on them is directly related to the process of forecasting the future development of the industry. This process involves the use of special computational and arithmetic methods that allow predicting the events and happenings in the tourism industry, to determine the regression function as a result of the interaction and interaction of indicators representing the tour activity. As a result of targeted research, special attention was paid to hotels, the number of places in them, the quality of services and tour operators, among many factors affecting the tourism process
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