Abstract
The Arctic region has a great potential in development of hydrocarbon resources and can play an important role in meeting future global energy needs. In the presented work the specific features of the Arctic hydrocarbon projects are identified. Key needs of oil and gas industry in technology development within the framework of projects of extraction of hydrocarbon resources in the Arctic are revealed. A critical analysis of technological forecasting methods is presented. Problems and prospects of their use in the conditions of the Arctic zones are established. The need for an integrated approach to forecasting the development of industrial systems of the Arctic zone is justified.
Highlights
According to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting estimates the world's primary energy consumption by 2040 will increased by 40-60% compared with 2010
Factors contributing to the development of technologies for the Arctic hydrocarbon projects include the following: - high resource potential of the Arctic region; - exhaustibility of hydrocarbon resources in the regions of traditional production; - government support for the development of the Arctic territories
The hydrocarbon resources of the Arctic have a number of specific features that determine by technological complexity of developing oil and gas fields, as well as the uniqueness and vulnerability of the Arctic region
Summary
According to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting estimates the world's primary energy consumption by 2040 will increased by 40-60% compared with 2010. Primary energy consumption will be 100.7 and 90.3 million barrels of oil equivalent per day for oil and natural gas, respectively, against 90.1 and 65.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2018. In accordance with analytical report of the US Geological Survey, the Arctic region have high potential in oil and gas production. About 30% of the world's undiscovered reserves of natural gas and 13% of oil are concentrated in the region mostly offshore [2]. As reported by the National Petroleum Council, the potential hydrocarbon resources of the Arctic region are estimated at 525 billion barrels of oil equivalent (99 billion barrels of them are explored and 426 are unexplored) [3]
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