Forecasting of socio-demographic characteristics in urban design

Abstract

The article examines the state of modern social infrastructure in the regional aspect on the example of the Orel region. A new system of indicators for assessing the living environment has been developed, based on the principle of satisfying rational human needs through the functions of the city. Based on the obtained statistical data on demographic and socio-economic indicators of the region, a correlation and regression analysis of dependent and independent variables was performed, the results of which are the basis for selecting the most important mutually influencing factors and building statistical models based on them. The revealed patterns can serve as a means of supporting decision-making to improve the quality of life of the population and manage demographic processes in an urbanized area.