Abstract

The development of marine scientific and technological innovation is an important force for realizing the high-quality development of the marine economy. The purpose of this paper is to predict the development trend of marine science and technology development, marine economy, and employed persons by coastal regions in Guangdong Province, and to give policy suggestions for the future direction of the development of marine technology in Guangdong. Considering the new information priority principle, this paper uses the data from 2011 to 2016 to predict the development trend of marine science and technology, marine economy, and employed persons by coastal regions in Guangdong Province from 2017 to 2022 with the rolling RMGM(1,m) model. It is found that the level of marine science and technology and marine economy in Guangdong maintains stable growth, but marine science and technology capabilities still need to be strengthened. On the one hand, the research reveals the development trend of Guangdong’s marine science and technology innovation and marine economy, and it provides a direction for the high-quality development of Guangdong’s marine economy. On the other hand, the research confirms the validity of the MGM(1,m) model and enriches the research field of grey forecasting models.

Highlights

  • In the present research, we focus on the perspective of marine science and technology innovation and select the marine research and experimental development (R&D) to measure the level of marine science and technology development

  • This paper is optimistic about the future level of marine technological innovation and marine economy in Guangdong

  • The improvement of regional marine scientific and technological innovation capabilities and the high-quality development of marine economy are the realistic and major tasks faced by governments at all levels

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Summary

Introduction

China’s economic development needs the sea [1]. As an important part of modern economic development and social activities, the ocean is the key to achieving economic breakthroughs and innovation [2]. The ocean is a strategic location for high-quality development, and the marine economy has become an important part of the national economy. Innovation is an important driving force for realizing high-quality development of the marine economy [3]. The report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China stated that innovation is the primary driving force for development and the strategic support for building a modern economic system. Marine technological innovation is an important core of China’s high-quality marine development. China attaches great importance to the leading role of marine technological innovation in the development of the marine economy

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