Forecasting-Aided State Estimation in Power Systems During Normal Load Variations Using Iterated Square-Root Cubature Kalman Filter

Abstract

The main aim is to estimating the voltage profile at all the buses in the system before the arrival of next set of hybrid measurements from field. The effectiveness of the algorithm ISCKF during load variations is evaluated with respect to already implemented Kalman filter approaches for this application. This includes the sudden changes in loads which occurring in practical power systems. The utilization of an iterated square-root cubature Kalman filter (ISCKF) for power system forecasting-aided state estimation (FASE) is being studied during normal load variations. Its implementation involves "Newton-Gauss iterative method being embedded into the square-root cubature Kalman filter (SCKF)" at the measurement update step of Kalman filter. The square-root factor of error covariance matrices is calculated by utilizing QR decomposition to avoid losing of positive definiteness of the matrix. The estimation is carried out utilizing hybrid measurements from remote terminal units and phasor measurement units. The state vector is forecasted using the proposed method in the interval period between two measurement arrivals from the devices. Thereby, caters to state estimation of the voltages at buses in the system even when the measurements are unavailable. The efficacy of the proposed algorithm to FASE is evaluated for IEEE 30-bus system and Northern Region Power Grid (NRPG) 246-bus system. The simulation results show that the proposed ISCKF outperforms the CKF by significant improvement in accuracy of forecasting-aided state estimation. ISCKF will be able to give results before the next set of hybrid data arrives (expected from an estimation algorithm). Therefore, the proposed estimation algorithm is applicable for real-time practical application, with respect to large power systems as well.