Forecast of Ugra transport development

Abstract

Background: The transport industry is leading in the overall structure of the country's economy. In parts of the regions, this industry can be a branch of specialization.
 Aim: To forecast further development of the industry in the territory of Ugra.
 Method: Analysis based on a questionnaire survey of organizations related to the transport industry in Ugra.
 To analyze the further development of the transport industry of Ugra, the methods of SWOT analysis and rating ranking were used.
 Results: The study revealed the main and secondary factors of the transport industry of Ugra. The analysis allowed to determine the strengths and weaknesses of transport, opportunities and threats to its development. On the basis of the analysis three rows of the forecast of transport development are given: pessimistic, moderate and optimistic.
 Conclusion: Thus, based on the analysis of the data presented, the following conclusions can be drawn:
 First, regional or inter-municipal highways, as well as the federal highway, perform a clearly expressed system-forming, supporting role in the common network of Ugra roads - on 8 km of these roads 8.8 km of private and local roads (for example, in Russia this ratio is 2.8 km);
 These roads, in comparison with the average indicators for regional or intermunicipal motorways of Russia, have higher loads, both from single types of motor transport, and the total load from all types of motor transport.
 Secondly, measurements of traffic on the bridge over the Ob River in Surgut showed that 44 % of passenger cars and 69 % of trucks, as well as 54 % of buses in the transport stream, consisted of transport from 32 other regions of the country.
 Taking into account that Rosstat cites the volumes of cargo transportation by organizations in the place of their registration, it is possible to assume with full justification that the actual volume of transported goods along the roads of Yugra is much larger. Above and the dynamics of growth in the volumes of goods transported by road.
 Thirdly, the industrial orientation of economic development predetermines the vastness of economic ties between Ugra and other regions of the country, which places regional inter-regional importance for the main regional roads, and therefore the construction and maintenance of such highways should be carried out not only at the expense of the budget of the Autonomous Okrug, but also of the federal budget.