Abstract
The article forecasts the price of share certificate of the Fuyao glass Industry Group Co., Ltd. As the Fuyao glass Industry Group Co., Ltd is the largest company in China that produces automotive glass and it has developed rapidly in recent times, it is meaningful to research its shock certificate and it will also be helpful for studying the trend of the entire industry. Both nave model and the ARIMA model could forecast the price of the Fuyaos share certificate well and have a low residual. The two models suggest that the price of the shock certificate will keep stable in 2024 and will maintain around 39 yuan per share. There is a 95 percent chance that the price will stay between 58 yuan and 19 yuan in Dec 2024. The chance that the price will stay between 51 yuan and 26 yuan in Dec 2024 will be 80 percent. This means that the company's development will become stable in 2024.
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