Abstract

One of the main factors likely to shape future developments in public health and health care services are demographic changes in the population. Demographic (population) projections are “what-if” scenarios that provide an estimate of future size and structure of the population. Such projections take into account both increases driven by growth of the population and structural changes in the population, such as an ageing population. All other things being equal, the consequence of a larger population is an increase in the number of people requiring health care, while that of population ageing is an increased incidence of illnesses associated with older patients.

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