Abstract

Although the concept of self-sufficiency has been accepted both in developed and developing countries, alternated with periods of its rejections, the food crisis from 2007/08 and COVID-19 pandemic returned focus to the availability of countries to be self-sufficient in food production. Considering the concerns over ensuring food security in many countries, the main objective of this paper is to estimate the ability to fulfill the feed demand of the population in the eight countries of South-East Europe (SEE), which is in crisis conditions, such as pandemic especially important. In that context, the food self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) is calculated for total food production, as well as for different food groups. The next step in the methodological framework was to estimate the influence of different factors on the self-sufficiency ratio, as it depends on natural, financial, economic, and political factors. The results show that the SEE region expresses a high level of SSR in food, so it shows that the region is quite ready to respond to the challenges posed by the crisis. However, as the SEE region is a group of very different countries, regional cooperation should be strengthened as food production is considered.

Highlights

  • The South-East Europe (SEE) countries have been moving from a national food selfsufficiency policy to a trade-based approach for almost three decades

  • Food supply available for human consumption during the reference period in terms of caloric value is above the global average calorific intake of 2653 kcal/person/day [45], since SEE countries tend to fall within the range of

  • The analysis showed that negative correlation between population density and self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) [34,35], a positive correlation between trade openness and SSR [40,41], political stability, and SSR [6,36,37] from the previous research could not be applied to all countries and all food groups

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Summary

Introduction

The South-East Europe (SEE) countries have been moving from a national food selfsufficiency policy to a trade-based approach for almost three decades. Many developing countries become net food importers under the rules of liberal trade policies [1]. The food crisis in 2007/08 returned to focus interest in food self-sufficiency [2,3,4]. A new crisis occurred, and this time food prices increased even more, which brought the problem of food security to the forefront. In the course of the last 15 years, several countries declared self-sufficiency as a medium-term policy objective, among others, Senegal and the Philippines concerning rice [2], and Russia concerning many agricultural products [6]

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