Abstract

We investigate how seismic anisotropy influences our ability to distinguish between various production-related effects from time-lapse seismic data. Based on rock physics models and ultrasonic core measurements, we estimate variations in PP and PS reflectivity at the top reservoir interface for fluid saturation and pore pressure changes. The tested scenarios include isotropic shale, weak anisotropic shale, and highly anisotropic shale layers overlaying either an isotropic reservoir sand layer or a weak anisotropic sand layer. We find that, for transverse isotropic media with a vertical symmetry axis (TIV), the effect of weak anisotropy in the cap rock does not lead to significant errors in, for instance, the simultaneous determination of pore-pressure and fluid-saturation changes. On the other hand, changes in seismic anisotropy within the reservoir rock (caused by, for instance, increased fracturing) might be detectable from time-lapse seismic data. A new method using exact expressions for PP and PS reflectivity, including TIV anisotropy, is used to determine pressure and saturation changes over production time. This method is assumed to be more accurate than previous methods.

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