Abstract

The glaciers of the Tibetan Plateau have undergone profound changes due to rapid global warming, but the nature of their response to climate change at various settings remains unclear. This study focuses on the analysis (grain sizes, magnetic susceptibility, and element ratios) of a sedimentary core from a proglacial lake (Qiangyong (QY) Co) at the southern Tibetan Plateau, based upon the 210Pb and 137Cs dating, aiming to unveil the fluctuations of the QY glacier over the recent 500 years and its response to global warming. Four pre-1900s distinct glacier advance/cold intervals (C1: 1560s, C2: 1660s, C3: 1760s and C4: 1860s), a minor advance in the 1950s and an extensive glacier retreat since the 2010s were discerned. There are five glacier fluctuation cycles, each spanning approximately 100 years, correlating generally well with the Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns on a century time scale. The glacier advances align with the cold periods, whereas the retreats correspond to the warm intervals. However, coarse grain sizes indicated a marked glacier shrinkage of the QY glacier since the 1920s owing to global warming, over-shading the inherent 100-years fluctuation cyclic variations intrinsic to glaciers. The reason is that after QY glacier has significantly shrunk to higher altitude, the response of the glacier to climate change is no longer as sensitive as at the lower altitude, even under post-industrial-revolution warming. The QY glacier and even the entire Himalayan region will face the threat of glacier melting during the 21st century, but dynamic patterns of glacier retreats in higher Himalayan regions may differ from that in the low-altitude.

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