Abstract

A method is presented for simulating the gross changes in river water quality which may result from natural variations in flow, systematic changes to the flow regime as a whole or major changes in discharge quality. The mathematical model described, once calibrated, requires historic flow data which cover the range of conditions of interest; for example, a typical drought year. Applications are described in which the model was used on a desk-top mini-computer to produce medium and long term predictions of river quality under a variety of flow regimes and to investigate the effects on water quality of a new reservoir.

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