Abstract

To assess the relationship between flow and geometric parameters in optical coherence tomography angiography images and the risk of incident diabetic retinopathy (DR). This prospective, observational cohort study recruited patients with Type 2 diabetes without DR in Guangzhou, China, and followed up annually. A commercially available optical coherence tomography angiography device (DRI OCT Triton; Topcon Inc, Tokyo, Japan) was used to obtain a variety of flow (foveal avascular zone area, vessel density, and vessel length density) and geometric (fractal dimension and blood vessel tortuosity) parameters in superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and deep capillary plexus. The odds ratio (OR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated per 1-SD increase in each optical coherence tomography angiography parameter. Over a follow-up of 1 year, 182 of 1,698 participants (10.7%) developed incident DR. After adjusting for conventional risk factors and image quality score, the higher risk of DR onset was significantly associated with the reduced parafoveal vessel density of SCP (OR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.69, 0.96; P = 0.016), reduced parafoveal vessel length density of SCP (OR = 0.73; 95% CI: 0.59, 0.90; P = 0.003), reduced fractal dimension of SCP (OR = 0.73; 95% CI: 0.61, 0.87; P < 0.001), increased blood vessel tortuosity of SCP (OR = 1.39; 95% CI: 1.18, 1.64; P < 0.001), and increased blood vessel tortuosity of deep capillary plexus (OR = 1.19; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.40; P = 0.033). Reduced vessel density and impaired vessel geometry posed higher susceptibility for DR onset in patients with Type 2 diabetes, supporting the adoption of optical coherence tomography angiography parameters as early monitoring indicators of the newly incident DR.

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