Abstract

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to understand how built environment professionals approach the valuation of flood risk in commercial property markets and whether insurance promotes mitigation in different insurance and risk management regimes, draw common conclusions and highlight opportunities to transfer learning.Design/methodology/approachAn illustrative case study approach involving literature search and 72 interviews with built environment professionals, across five countries in four continents.FindingsCommon difficulties arise in availability, reliability and interpretation of risk information, and in evaluating the impact of mitigation. These factors, coupled with the heterogeneous nature of commercial property, lack of transactional data and remote investors, make valuation of risk particularly challenging in the sector. Insurance incentives for risk mitigation are somewhat effective where employed and could be further developed, however, the influence of insurance is hampered by lack of insurance penetration and underinsurance.Research limitations/implicationsFurther investigation of the means to improve uptake of insurance and to develop insurance incentives for mitigation is recommended.Practical implicationsFlood risk is inconsistently reflected in commercial property values leading to lack of mitigation and vulnerability of investments to future flooding. Improvements are needed in: access to adequate risk information; professional skills in valuing risk; guidance on valuation of flood risk; and regulation to ensure adequate consideration of risk and mitigation options.Originality/valueThe research addresses a global issue that threatens local, and regional economies through loss of utility, business profitability and commercial property value. It is unique in consulting professionals across international markets.

Highlights

  • The commercial property sector is an important economic engine that suffers loss and disruption as a result of flooding and may be at increased risk in the future (Committee on Climate Change, 2015)

  • In the Insurance Council of Australia (ICA) provided a definition of flood1 that was not an covered by default enabling partial, or fuller, add on ‘flood’ insurance

  • The research has highlighted that understanding the link between flood risk, insurance, flood mitigation and property value is important in the maintenance of commercial property value t and business prosperity

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Summary

Introduction

The commercial property sector is an important economic engine that suffers loss and disruption as a result of flooding and may be at increased risk in the future (Committee on Climate Change, 2015). Commercial property transactions are an important part of a national investment portfolio (Savills, 2016) and any risk to these asset values can threaten local or even national economic stability. In particular non-domestic property investment an form part of global investment markets and investment funds that may be at threat from flood risk (London Climate Change Partnership, 2009), there are businesses operating transag nationally with real estate portfolios to match. Studies have used expert consultation to explore the process, rationale and causes of discounted valuation (Eves, 2004) Findings from these studies show large variation in the scale of impact observed on market price. There are temporal variations in market price within national and sub-national markets that reflect the point in time value including economic conditions and saliency of risk (Eves, 2002)

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