Flood risk assessment using modern models integrated with GIS for susceptibility mapping of the M'zab Valley watershed (Algeria)

Abstract

ABSTRACT Comprehensive flood control is needed because flooding can be catastrophic for people's lives and ways of living. This management must provide information on the hydrologic, geotechnical, environmental, social, and economic elements of floods. This work created maps for the flood susceptibility of the M'zab Valley using logistic regression (LR) and frequency ratio (FR). The main objective of the research was to strengthen the bivariate probability capabilities of FR and LR. A flood inventory map was created by extracting flood sites from multiple sources. The flood inventory was divided randomly into two parts: 30% was used for validation and the remaining 70% was used to train the models. Independent variable datasets included the distance from the river, rainfall, soil type, land use/land cover (LULC), elevation, drainage density, flow accumulation, and slope. The effect of each variable on flooding was assessed by comparing each independent variable with the dependent flood layer. The flood susceptibility map was assessed using the prediction rate approach on the validation dataset, which was not used for model construction. The accuracy assessment's findings revealed a prediction rate of FR 0.86 and LR 0.881, as well as a success rate of FR 0.924 and LR 0.924.