Abstract

Massive flooding in the Kashmir valley was induced by heavy rainfall due to combined effects of western disturbances and Indian summer monsoon during September 04–10, 2014. The populous Sonawari sub-district was severely affected by flood waves that caused complete damage to standing crops and disrupted man-made linear structures (embankment, canal, and road network). High value land use classes (cropped land, built-up and plantation), which encroached on swamps and wetlands between 1972 and 2014, were badly damaged. The main aim of this study is to assess flood hazard at village level in the sub-district. Village-wise standardised flood hazard indicators were flood affected areas, mean turbidity, mean flood depth and duration. These indicators were derived from the Landsat 7 ETM+, Landsat 8 OLI-TIRS images and SRTM (30m) DEM. Linear combination of these standardised indicators in GIS environment formulated Flood Hazard Index (FHI). Furthermore, the computed FHI values were divided into four flood hazard zones. Low, moderate, high and very high flood hazard zones occupied 16, 32, 34 and 19% of the total area, respectively. Further, these zones accounted for 21, 23, 33 and 23% of the total number of villages and towns (43), respectively. FHI was validated with overall changes in NDVI values with the help of linear regression model that showed a fair association between village-wise FHI and changes in mean NDVI values as the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.75 with a least standard error of 0.05. Village-wise flood hazard assessment has immense importance to plan future land use and to implement flood management strategies during pre and post- floods in the sub-district.

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