Abstract
In this paper I forecast that the fisheries management problems we face as we enter the twenty-first century will have less to do with extractive conservation and more to do with protection of regional and global environments. I present two contemporary fisheries management case histories which tend to bear this out: (1) Pacific Northwest salmon, with particular reference to the Columbia River, and (2) the high-seas driftnet fisheries of the North Pacific. Characterizing these types of problems in a few words, I would say that their effects are long-term and perhaps irreversible, and that they lead to conditions that we have yet to experience. Because of the type of input needed from the scientific community in order to forge rational solutions, modeling becomes ever more important in translating scientific experience into a form that will enlighten and move decisionmakers.
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