Abstract

Fish consumption level in Tabanan is lower than in other cities in Bali Province, because local habits, fish supply dependency from other regions, and the absence of fishing ports in that area. The research aims to increase fish consumption in Tabanan. The research was conducted in Tabanan Regency in May-June 2019. The data used are primary (fish farmers, fishermen, fish traders, and fish processing plants) and secondary data (fisheries statistics and statistics of Indonesia). Dynamic system approach was implemented, and several subsystems are considered: fish hatchery, fish farms, fishing, fish processing, and distribution between regions. The simulation is carried out with three scenarios: optimistic, pessimistic, and moderate/combined scenario. The results show that had no policy is implemented, the growth of fish consumption in Tabanan would always relatively be lower than provincial and national level. Increasing fish production by 4% annually from fishing and fish farming as optimistic scenario would enhance fish consumption in 2030 to 26.7 kgs/capita (group A/household) and 36.55 kgs/capita/year (if group A, B and C are included/household and non-household). The moderate scenario shows an improved performance than baseline and pessimistic scenarios.

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