Abstract

First, a logistic regression model, based on maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and blood pressure at 11-13 weeks' gestation, can identify about 70% of women who develop future chronic hypertension (CH) in the three years following pregnancy, at screen positive rate of 10%. Second, at mid-gestation women who subsequently develop hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have increased peripheral vascular resistance and mild cardiac functional and morphological alterations and these cardiovascular abnormalities persist for at least 2 years after delivery. To examine whether the use of the first-trimester risk for subsequent development of CH can help to identify women at high risk for cardiovascular maladaptation at mid-gestation. Prospective observational study in 3812 women with singleton pregnancies women attending for a routine hospital visit at 11+0 to 13+6 weeks' gestation and again at 19+1 to 23+3 weeks at King's College Hospital, London, UK between August 2019 and August 2020. The first-trimester visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and measurement of systolic and diastolic blood pressure. At mid-gestation detailed maternal cardiovascular assessment was carried out. The association of risk for development of CH, determined from first-trimester assessment, and cardiovascular indices at mid-gestation was examined. Women who are at high-risk for development of future CH, compared to those at low-risk, had a higher incidence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). In addition, high-risk women, had reduced systolic and diastolic function at mid-gestation. Among women with HDP, those who were high-risk for future CH, compared to those at low-risk, also had worse cardiac function at mid-gestation. Use of a model for first-trimester prediction of subsequent development of CH can identify women who show evidence of cardiac maladaptation at mid-gestation. Further studies are needed to clarify whether women who screen as high-risk for future CH, compared to those at low-risk, have reduced cardiac function beyond pregnancy. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

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