Abstract

Knowledge of a population’s abundance is of primary importance for conservation management. However, robust estimates of abundance are often difficult to obtain, especially for cetaceans which spend most of their lives submerged. Cetacean abundance is commonly estimated using aerial or vessel-based line transect surveys and distance sampling methods. During 2012–2014, the first line transect surveys to estimate cetacean abundance were conducted in Namibian waters. Surveys took place in the Namibian Islands’ Marine Protected Area (NIMPA), a large MPA located along the southern Namibian coastline. A combined visual and acoustic double-platform survey configuration was used to investigate the factors affecting detectability of the endemic Heaviside’s dolphin (Cephalorhynchus heavisidii) and dusky dolphin (Lagenorhynchus obscurus obscurus). The present analysis estimates the probability of detection on the transect line (g(0)) for these two species and generates density and abundance estimates which incorporate a correction for both animals missed on the transect line and attractive responsive movement. The average annual baseline density and abundance estimates for Heaviside’s dolphins in the NIMPA region during 2012–2014 were 0.08 individuals/km2 (CV = 28.6%, 95% CI = 0.04–0.15 individuals/km2) and 1594 individuals (CV = 28.6%, 95% CI =776–3275), respectively. The average annual baseline density and abundance estimates for dusky dolphins in the NIMPA region during 2012–2014 were 0.16 individuals/km2 (CV = 26.2%, 95% CI = 0.10–0.28 individuals/km2) and 3493 individuals (CV = 26.2%, 95% CI: 2015–6052), respectively. A discussion on the distribution of Heaviside’s and dusky dolphins is provided for this region where such information are urgently needed. Based on existing knowledge of the species and area, these estimates are regarded as reasonable. They indicate moderate sized populations of animals within the NIMPA and provide an important first baseline on which future estimates can build.

Highlights

  • Estimates of abundance, trends and distribution are fundamental for the conservation management of any species

  • The deepest water depths associated with dolphin detections occurred in the central stratum in 158 and 216 m for Heaviside’s and dusky dolphins, respectively. This is the first study to generate density and abundance estimates for Heaviside’s and dusky dolphins within Namibia, which incorporates the novel approach of using acoustic line transect methodology for this region

  • The resulting density and abundance estimates for both species using the MR-full independence (FI) model are realistic for the study region, based on markrecapture photo-ID estimates of Heaviside’s dolphins over smaller study areas (Elwen and Gopal, 2018) and aerial line transect surveys to estimate density of Patagonian dusky dolphins (Degrati et al, 2020)

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Summary

Introduction

Trends and distribution are fundamental for the conservation management of any species. Abundance estimates are especially needed for coastal and riverine species of dolphins and porpoises found in Asia, Africa and South America, as these are amongst the most anthropogenically impacted areas with the least dedicated research (Jefferson, 2019). Heaviside’s dolphins are endemic to the Benguela region ranging from southern Angola (∼16◦S) to the Cape of Good Hope, South Africa (∼34◦S) (Best, 2007). They are small in body size (

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