Abstract

The Amazon basin is being increasingly affected by anthropogenic fires, however, most studies focus on the impact of fires on terrestrial upland forests and do not consider the vast, annually inundated floodplains along the large rivers. Among these, the nutrient-poor, blackwater floodplain forests (igapós) have been shown to be particularly susceptible to fires. In this study we analyzed a 35-year time series (1982/1983–2016/2017) of Landsat Thematic Mapper from the Jaú National Park (Central Amazonia) and its surroundings. Our overall objective was to identify and delineate fire scars in theigapófloodplains and relate the resulting time series of annual burned area to the presence of human populations and interannual variability of regional hydroclimatic factors. We estimated hydroclimatic parameters for the study region using ground-based instrumental data (maximum monthly temperature–Tmax, precipitation–P, maximum cumulative water deficit–MCWD, baseflow index–BFI, minimum water level–WLmin90of the major rivers) and large-scale climate anomalies (Oceanic Niño Index–ONI), considering the potential dry season of the non-flooded period of theigapófloodplains from September to February. Using a wetland mask, we identified 518,135 ha ofigapófloodplains in the study region, out of which 17,524 ha (3.4%) burned within the study period, distributed across 254 fire scars. About 79% of the fires occurred close to human settlements (<10 km distance), suggesting that human activities are the main source of ignition. Over 92.4% of the burned area is associated with El Niño events. Non-linear regression models indicate highly significant relationships (p< 0.001) with hydroclimatic parameters, positive withTmax(R2adj. = 0.83) and theONI(R2adj. = 0.74) and negative withP(R2adj. = 0.88),MCWD(R2adj. = 0.90),WLmin90(R2adj. = 0.61) andBFI(R2adj. = 0.80). Hydroclimatic conditions were of outstanding magnitude in particular during the El Niño event in 2015/2016, which was responsible for 42.8% of the total burned floodplain area. We discuss these results under a historical background of El Niño occurrences and a political, demographic, and socioeconomic panorama of the study region considering the past 400 years, suggesting that disturbance ofigapósby fires is not a recent phenomenon. Concluding remarks focus on current demands to increase the conservation to prevent and mitigate the impacts of fire in this vulnerable ecosystem.

Highlights

  • The Amazon biome holds the largest amount of global continuous tropical forest cover, embedded in the largest river basin on Earth hosting a megadiversity in flora and fauna

  • In this study we associate the magnitude and frequency of fire disturbances in mostly protected igapó floodplains with El Niñoinduced hydroclimatic droughts and human occupation which accidentally are the main source of fire ignition

  • Based on the analyzed period of recent fire occurrence and the drawn historical panorama, the findings of this study suggest that igapó landscapes in regions with historical human occupation are a patchwork of successional forest types that sporadically establish after largescale fire disturbances caused by severe hydroclimatic droughts mainly driven by severe El Niño events, especially during warm Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) phases

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Summary

Introduction

The Amazon biome holds the largest amount of global continuous tropical forest cover, embedded in the largest river basin on Earth hosting a megadiversity in flora and fauna (ter Steege et al, 2020). Despite the interannual variability related to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), climate oscillations with low frequency, such as the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), shape the multidecadal pattern of rainfall and hydrological regimes in the Central, Northern and Eastern Amazon (Marengo, 2004, 2009; Aragão et al, 2018; Barichivich et al, 2018; Granato-Souza et al, 2020) Both low-frequency oscillations are characterized by sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly patterns similar to ENSO but in a decadal mode of changing warm and cold phases with cycles of 40–60 years (Henley, 2017). Several studies indicate that teleconnections between El Niño and precipitation in South America are strengthened during the warm phase of the IPO (PDO) (Andreoli and Kayano, 2005; Wang and Liu, 2016; Campozano et al, 2020; Nguyen et al, 2021)

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