Fire-killed forest biomass for mills and communities and bioenergy GHG impacts

Abstract

We examine the supply chains of post-fire salvage harvest to 28 mills or 10 communities in British Columbia, Canada, and assess the net change in GHG emissions for community bioenergy and biofuels, relative to a ‘do-nothing’ baseline with fossil fuel use.Lowest-cost supply chains for post-fire salvage had largest hauled biomass for mills in the southern interior of the province, with mills in close proximity to each other having small fibresheds and low haul costs. Supply chains were also quantified for salvage biomass hauled to communities by using a lowest GHG optimization routine that selected between liquid transportation fuels or community bioenergy (heat and/or electricity). For the first few decades, avoided GHG emissions were larger when biomass was used for bioenergy (heat and/or electricity), mainly in larger communities, to avoid fossil fuel burning. As energy systems decarbonized, biomass was used for biofuels, and production was more evenly distributed amongst the communities.Adding these results to an integrated framework with previously published ecosystem emissions and removals assessed the net change in GHG emissions for a post-fire rehabilitation and bioenergy scenario relative to a ‘do-nothing’ baseline with continued fossil fuel use. We found that there was an initial increase in net GHG emissions even though biogenic emissions from bioenergy were partially offset by avoided fossil fuel emissions. Over time, an enhanced sink from rehabilitation activities combined with avoided fossil fuel emissions resulted in a cumulative (2020–2070) GHG reduction at median levels of −6 TgCO2e with a range from reduced emissions of −39 TgCO2e to increased emissions 37 TgCO2e. Cumulative avoided fossil emissions were −62 TgCO2e with a range from −49 TgCO2e to −86 TgCO2e.