Abstract
Human society's concern about future environmental changes in response to both natural forcings, such as climate, and ever increasing human impact can only be addressed if the interaction between the natural and man-made forcings are fully understood. One parameter that lends itself for such analysis is fire. The historical record is toa short and ambiguous to provide data adequate to discriminate between natural and man-induced changes in fire frequencies. Paleoenvironmental records, inclusive of both the historic and the prehistoric past, can provide an appropriate data set with which to address this question. These data include paleoclimate reconstructions, pollen, and charcoal records from dated sediment sections, and information on past human impact derived from historical and archaeological evidence. The Patagonian region is well suited for such a study because of its climatic diversity, its wide range of ecosystems, and the adaptation of its ecosystems to fire. Records from latitudes 36º to 55ºS suggest that although prehistoric human activities may have amplified extent of fires, climate played the central role. Changes in patterns of climate variability were particularly important. Whenever variability was high, during the late glacial and the late Holocene, fires were abundant. Late glacial variability is probably related to fluctuations in the extent of Antarctic sea-ice which in turn influences the latitudinal position of the westerly stormtracks; late Holocene variability, on the other hand, is related to the influence of El Niño/Southern Oscillation
Highlights
One of the biggest challenges in predicting future environmental response to ever increasing pressure from human impact is how the effects of natural. driving forces (e.g. c1imate)'interact with the effects of anthropogenic forcing
Highest fire frequency and regional extent is recorded from latitudes south of 500S during the late glacial between 11000 and 9000 years B.P
Low water levels in lakes and bogs suggests low effective moisture, most probably with the greatest moisture stress occurring in summer
Summary
One of the biggest challenges in predicting future environmental response to ever increasing pressure from human impact is how the effects of natural. driving forces (e.g. c1imate)'interact with the effects of anthropogenic forcing. One promising approach which may provide a means of distinguishing human and .c1imatic influence is the use of time series analysis of high resolution pollen records to reconstruct vegetation dynamics within periods of relative environmental stability (GREEN & DOLMAN, 1988; DODSON, 1988). These studies have focused on the dynamics of fuel build-up and fire intensity interpreted from relationships between influx of charcoal, inorganics, and specifie pollen taxa. Be possible to use the conceptual aspects of this approach to qualitatively interpret covariance pattems of community assemblage and fire frequency
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