Financial Frictions and Macroeconomy During Financial Crises: A Bayesian DSGE Assessment

Abstract

The recent global financial crisis and the Eurozone sovereign default have rekindled the debate on the interactions between the real sector and the financial sphere. The present paper provides an assessment of the role of financial frictions on business cycles in Canada, the Euro Area, the U.K., and the U.S. during these recent financial crises using an extension of the DSGE methodology described by Merola (2015). The main goal is to examine whether and the extent to which those crises enhanced the contribution of financial frictions in driving macroeconomic fluctuations. The models’ properties are examined with posteriors distributions, variance decomposition, and historical decomposition. Posteriors distributions show that the role of real shocks in driving macroeconomic fluctuations decrease with the incorporation of financial frictions in the core DSGE model. Variance decomposition shows that financial frictions and financial shocks affect the business cycle through investment. The empirical estimates also suggest that the contribution of financial frictions and financial shocks in driving investment increases during the global financial crisis.