Final analysis of a prospective controlled trial of the efficacy of uracil and tegafur/leucovorin for stage II colon cancer with risk factors for recurrence using propensity score-based methods (JFMC46-1201).

Abstract

117 Background: The usefulness of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer with high-risk factors for recurrence has not been established. Methods: This was a prospective, non-randomized controlled study based on patients’ selection of treatment options, including randomized therapeutic decision-making. High-risk factors were defined as having at least one of the following factors: T4, perforation/penetration, poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma/mucinous carcinoma, and < 12 dissected lymph nodes. UFT (300 mg/m2/day) plus LV (75 mg/day) were orally administered for 6 months after surgery. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS) after adjusting for risk factors using propensity sore matching (1:2) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) in the non-randomized arm. The secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and safety. Results: 1902 (98%) and 36 (2%) patients were enrolled in the non-randomized and randomized arms, respectively between May 2012 and April 2016. There were too few patients in the randomized arm and these were therefore excluded from the analysis. Eligible patients were divided into two groups: A, patients who selected surgery alone (n = 641); B, patients who selected UFT/LV treatment (n = 1239). Of the eligible patients, 402 in group A and 804 in group B were propensity score-matched. The 5-year DFS rate (95% confidence interval) was significantly higher in group B (76.3% [73.1-79.1]) than in group A (68.8% [63.9-73.2]) {hazard ratio [HR] 0.66 [0.51–0.84, P = 0.0008]}. The 5-year OS rates were not significantly different between group B and group A [HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.50–1.10, P = 0.1391)]. Using IPTW, significantly higher 5-year DFS [HR 0.71 (95% CI 0.59–0.86, P = 0.0006)] and overall survival [HR 0.66 (95% CI 0.49–0.90, P = 0.0122)] rates were observed in group B compared with group A. Multivariate analysis revealed that male sex, over 70 years old, T4, < 12 dissected lymph nodes, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were significant risk factors for recurrence. Conclusions: Adjuvant chemotherapy with UFT/LV significantly improves DFS. Oral UFT/LV as adjuvant chemotherapy shows efficacy with an acceptable safety profile for stage II colon cancer with risk factors. Clinical trial information: UMIN000007783 .