FIGAT: Accurately Classify Individual Crime Risks with Multi-information Fusion

Abstract

Crime prediction plays a vital role in public security. Existing studies infer crime locations or crime groups without considering individual GPS trajectory data. They ignore joint influence on crime patterns coming from the internal relationship between criminals, locations, and time. In this study, we propose Fusion Information Graph Attention Networks (FIGAT), which classifies individuals into high and low risks with personal movement time series and location trajectories. To solve the independence of individual crime behavior and the fusion information loss problem, FIGAT proposes Multi-dimension Fusion Information Graph to combine semantic correlation features with conventional person basic features, time features, and location features. FIGAT constructs a multi-relation graph attention layer, which utilizes the semantic relationship and node information to accurately classify individuals into high and low risks. We evaluate FIGAT with 14,625,884 GPS trajectories from 1038 individuals collected by a real-world public safety department. The results demonstrate that FIGAT improves F1 score by 41%, 32%, and 23% compared with legacy machine learning, RNN-based deep learning, and graph neural network SOTA methods, respectively. T-SNE results and ablation experiments further prove the effectiveness of FIGAT.